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Regression Candidates

Saturday, November 14th, 2009

Candidates to regress towards the mean in 2010: The ’09 Overachievers Jair Jurrjens – This one’s as much of a sure thing as there is.  Jurrjens posted a 4.44 xFIP and a 2.60 ERA.  Jurrjens benefited from an unsustainable 79.4% LOB% and a most likely unsustainable .274 BABIP.  Expect regression from Jurrjens in 2010 to [...]

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Braves 2009 Season In Review

Thursday, October 8th, 2009

This is going to be a very lengthy post.  It will involve a lot of statistical analysis and will attempt to determine what the Braves did well, what they did badly, what they need to change, and generally how they got to where they are.  While the purpose of this post is to examine the [...]

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Breaking Out The Brooms.

Sunday, May 24th, 2009

And that happened.  If you polled 100 baseball experts asking them to take over/under 10% chance that the Braves, a .500 team that has played bad at home, would sweep the Blue Jays, who have the best record in baseball, with Roy Halladay facing Kenshin Kawakami in the first game, somewhere between 99 and 100 [...]

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Series Thoughts: Mutts / Series Preview: Diamondbacks

Thursday, May 14th, 2009

A win that put us on cloud 9, a loss that put us in the trenches, and another win that put us right back where we started.  That’s what happened.  Here’s how it went down. In the first game, Santana vs. Lowe, neither pitcher was particularly brilliant.  Santana pitched 6 and 1/3 innings of 1-run [...]

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Series Thoughts: Philthies / Series Preview: Mutts

Monday, May 11th, 2009

Again we win a series in Philly, although we didn’t play as well as we did in the first series.  We lost the first game behind Reyes’s terrible outing.  He gave up 8 runs (only 4 were earned because of 2 errors in 1 inning, 1 by Escobar and 1 by Reyes, both on routine [...]

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Series Thoughts: Nationals / Series Preview: Reds

Friday, April 24th, 2009

Overall a very uninspiring performance from all of the position players.  The offense was simply not there in this series as the Braves scored in exactly 3 of 27 innings they played.  They averaged 2 runs/game this series and if their pitching hadn’t been brilliant they would’ve been embarrassingly swept by the team with last [...]

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