Loading ...Another Case Study on Perception and Reality
Wednesday, November 18th, 2009One of the recent poll questions was: If you had to trade one of the two (Jair Jurrjens, Yunel Escobar), which would you? The response was almost exactly 50/50. I assume that if I’d substituted Kris Medlen for Jair Jurrjens it would’ve been a landslide win for Medlen. I think most fans would rather part [...]
Regression Candidates
Saturday, November 14th, 2009Candidates to regress towards the mean in 2010: The ’09 Overachievers Jair Jurrjens – This one’s as much of a sure thing as there is. Jurrjens posted a 4.44 xFIP and a 2.60 ERA. Jurrjens benefited from an unsustainable 79.4% LOB% and a most likely unsustainable .274 BABIP. Expect regression from Jurrjens in 2010 to [...]
Thoughts on Tim Hudson
Saturday, October 24th, 2009Apparently the Braves began negotiations with Tim Hudson’s agent about a contract extension that would keep him in Atlanta. Mark Bowman has all the details. The money quotes: Braves general manager Frank Wren and Hudson’s agent, Paul Cohen, began negotiations on Thursday and they are expected to continue talking over the course of the next [...]
Braves 2009 Season In Review
Thursday, October 8th, 2009This is going to be a very lengthy post. It will involve a lot of statistical analysis and will attempt to determine what the Braves did well, what they did badly, what they need to change, and generally how they got to where they are. While the purpose of this post is to examine the [...]
Saturday Post
Saturday, September 12th, 2009Happy Saturday, everyone. So, how about that game last night? Jeez, I didn’t see that coming. Heck of a game. If the offense preforms like that against Carpenter, he’ll have a perfect game. And if Jurrjens pitched like that against the Padres, he’d have a perfect game. But Carpenter doesn’t pitch until Sunday and we’ve [...]
Economic Roster Analysis
Friday, August 28th, 2009The Braves’ roster is made of two types of players, acquired and developed. These two types of players are divided into 3 sub-categories based on service time. Those who are yet to become eligible for arbitration, those who are arbitration eligible, and those who have already qualified for free agency. I took the 25 players [...]
Is the Upcoming Series a “Must-Win”?
Wednesday, August 12th, 2009People ask me all the time if this game is a “must-win”? Or if this series is a “must-win”? It’s usually a very idiotic question, of course, because it’s not like this is the one game or this is the one series that if you don’t win, you have no chance of making the playoffs. [...]