Loading ...Another Case Study on Perception and Reality
Wednesday, November 18th, 2009One of the recent poll questions was: If you had to trade one of the two (Jair Jurrjens, Yunel Escobar), which would you? The response was almost exactly 50/50. I assume that if I’d substituted Kris Medlen for Jair Jurrjens it would’ve been a landslide win for Medlen. I think most fans would rather part [...]
Regression Candidates
Saturday, November 14th, 2009Candidates to regress towards the mean in 2010: The ’09 Overachievers Jair Jurrjens – This one’s as much of a sure thing as there is. Jurrjens posted a 4.44 xFIP and a 2.60 ERA. Jurrjens benefited from an unsustainable 79.4% LOB% and a most likely unsustainable .274 BABIP. Expect regression from Jurrjens in 2010 to [...]
Braves 2009 Season In Review
Thursday, October 8th, 2009This is going to be a very lengthy post. It will involve a lot of statistical analysis and will attempt to determine what the Braves did well, what they did badly, what they need to change, and generally how they got to where they are. While the purpose of this post is to examine the [...]
Braves 2009 Top Prospects Year In Review: 11-20
Tuesday, October 6th, 2009Number 20: Scott Diamond – LHP (22) 6′3″ 190 LB Diamond didn’t make a whole lot of statistical progress in 2009, though I suppose a promotion to AA with no noticeable progress either way is progress in itself. Diamond pitched 131 innings in 23 starts for the Class-AA Mississippi Braves, posting a 3.50 ERA, a [...]
Consecutive Mondays Off Post
Tuesday, September 15th, 2009I guess Monday is the most common day to have off. And I guess it enables me to watch Monday Night Football. But the Braves had consecutive Mondays off. And guess what! The Marlins lost! I didn’t know the Marlins did the whole losing thing based on what I saw from them earlier this year. [...]
Our Record When He Starts
Saturday, July 4th, 2009Name: record (ERA) Vazquez: 7-10 (3.05 ERA) Lowe: 9-8 (4.44 ERA) Kawakami: 7-8 (4.46 ERA) Hanson: 5-1 (2.25 ERA) Jurrjens: 8-9 (2.73 ERA) Medlen: 1-2 (6.28 ERA) Reyes: 1-3 (6.58 ERA) Unacceptable. Especially when Vazquez and Jurrjens pitch. No way we should have a losing record when those two pitch.
That’s a 10.
Thursday, June 4th, 2009Most of the time when you hear about a trade you’ve already heard that it’s likely to happen. You’ll hear that “x player is being shopped” or “x team has had discussions with y team about z player”. You hear rumors anywhere from a month in advance to a day in advance, and most educated [...]